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    <title>Confidently Wrong</title>
    <link>https://confidentlywrong.me/</link>
    <description>Confidently Wrong is Mike Hemmings's writer-led publication about AI's effect on work and life.</description>
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      <title>Anthropic thinks AI might cause Great Depression... Don't worry, we've got an app for that!</title>
      <link>https://confidentlywrong.me/stories/2026-05-19/anthropic-thinks-ai-might-cause-great-depression-don-t-worry/</link>
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      <pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[<p>Anthropic published an economic policy framework this week laying out what should happen if its technology causes mass unemployment. The company has split the problem into three tiers: 5% unemployment (bad), 10% unemployment (worse), and what it calls "unprecedented unemployment," which presumably means something in Great Depression territory, when one in four Americans was out of work.</p><p>For the mild scenario, Anthropic suggests workforce training grants and baby investment accounts. For the middling one, expanded unemployment insurance. For the catastrophic one, it admits it isn't sure, but floats universal basic income, sovereign wealth funds, and taxing AI companies by the token. Which is a bit like a car manufacturer publishing a pamphlet on what to do if cars turn out to be too dangerous to drive, and the final chapter just says "we're still working on it."</p><p>The company has pledged $350 million toward researching these questions. It has not mentioned slowing down.</p><p>The genuinely interesting detail, which Gizmodo quite rightly flagged, is that nobody asked whether Claude helped write the plan for dealing with Claude-caused unemployment. Anthropic didn't respond. Probably fine.</p>]]></description>
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      <title>Sony side eyes strangers for kicks</title>
      <link>https://confidentlywrong.me/stories/2026-05-18/sony-side-eyes-strangers-for-kicks/</link>
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      <pubDate>Mon, 18 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[<p>Researchers at the University of Washington have fitted cameras inside a pair of Sony WF-1000XM3 earbuds, producing something they're calling VueBuds: a prototype that uses computer vision and a large language model to answer questions about your surroundings. Which is, essentially, Ray-Ban Meta glasses, but jammed into your ear canals instead of sitting on your nose.</p><p>The timing is pointed. Bloomberg reported this week that Apple is in the late stages of developing camera-equipped AirPods for exactly the same purpose: navigation, contextual reminders, ambient awareness. The whole package.</p><p>The researchers' version makes some sensible compromises to keep the battery alive. Low-resolution, black-and-white cameras. Less data, less drain, and theoretically fewer privacy nightmares when someone inevitably reverse-engineers the thing. Response times are apparently comparable to the Ray-Bans, which is faint praise, but not nothing.</p><p>The harder problem is one no spec sheet fixes: AI vision on wearables is still, in practice, a bit rubbish. Slow, wrong, cloud-dependent, and liable to fail the moment your 4G signal gets politely strangled by a car park. Stuffing the cameras somewhere smaller and less visible doesn't change that. It just makes the disappointment more intimate.</p>]]></description>
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      <title>Developers say AI is making them worse at their jobs. Their bosses are counting it as a win.</title>
      <link>https://confidentlywrong.me/stories/2026-05-17/developers-say-ai-is-making-them-worse-at-their-jobs-their-b/</link>
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      <pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[<p>Tech executives love to quote the numbers. Google says AI writes 75 percent of its new code. Microsoft's CTO wants 95 percent by 2030. Zuckerberg expects AI to write most of Meta's code within the year. These figures get announced like earnings beats, which is essentially what they are.</p><p>The people actually writing the code have a different read on it.</p><p>Developers talking to 404 Media describe a slow, creeping de-skilling: the kind that happens when you stop doing the hard thing yourself and realise, six months later, that you can't anymore. One engineer forgot how to implement a basic API he'd used for years. Another described losing track of what his own codebase actually does. A third put it plainly: "It's making me dumber for sure. It's like when we got cellphones and stopped remembering phone numbers, but it's grown to me mentally outsourcing 'thinking' in general."</p><p>None of this is surprising, exactly. It's what happens when you mandate a tool regardless of whether it fits the work. The executives measuring AI adoption aren't the ones untangling the rat's nest it leaves behind.</p><p>What's quietly alarming is the compulsion layer. Performance reviews tied to AI usage. Developers using it performatively because the alternative is a bad appraisal. The output doesn't have to be good. It just has to exist.</p>]]></description>
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      <title>Mustafa Suleyman says all white-collar work will be automated in 18 months. The evidence says otherwise.</title>
      <link>https://confidentlywrong.me/stories/2026-05-17/mustafa-suleyman-says-all-white-collar-work-will-be-automate/</link>
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      <pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[<p>Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Microsoft AI, told the Financial Times earlier this year that AI will reach human-level performance on "most, if not all professional tasks" within 18 months. Accounting, legal, marketing, project management: gone, or near enough. Which, sure.</p><p>The problem is that this prediction has been running on a loop since early 2025. Dario Amodei said it. Jim Farley said it. Elon Musk said it in Davos, which is arguably the natural habitat for this kind of thing. The AI apocalypse has been 18 months away for about 18 months now.</p><p>The actual numbers are less cinematic. A study on software developers found AI made their tasks take 20% longer. Lawyers and accountants are experimenting with document review tools and seeing marginal gains. Profit margin improvements from AI are almost entirely confined to Big Tech. The broader economy has barely noticed.</p><p>Suleyman's company quietly laid off 15,000 people last year while not mentioning AI as a reason, which is its own kind of answer.</p><p>The prediction may eventually be right. But there is something telling about the people most loudly announcing the end of professional work being, to a man, the ones selling the thing that supposedly ends it.</p>]]></description>
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      <title>UCF graduates boo commencement speaker for praising AI. She called it passion.</title>
      <link>https://confidentlywrong.me/stories/2026-05-17/ucf-graduates-boo-commencement-speaker-for-praising-ai-she-c/</link>
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      <pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[<p>A graduation ceremony at the University of Central Florida went sideways on May 8 when speaker Gloria Caulfield, a vice president at a property development company, told a hall full of graduating artists and communicators that AI was "the next industrial revolution." The room booed her. She brought it up again. The room booed her again. She said, "Oh, I love it. Passion. Let's go."</p><p>Which is one way to handle it.</p><p>Caulfield spent roughly three of her eleven minutes praising AI and drawing comparisons to how people once worried about email and mobile phones, as one does. The crowd of arts, humanities, and media graduates was perhaps not the most receptive audience for this particular TED talk. Graduate Houda Eletr called it "the most embarrassing, unskippable, tone-deaf, ad-like commencement" she could imagine. Unskippable is doing a lot of work in that sentence, and good on her for it.</p><p>The clip spread fast online, mostly because there's something genuinely clarifying about watching a room of young creative workers vote with their lungs. The people being told AI is good for them happen to be the people whose jobs it's replacing first. They understood the subtext. They just weren't polite about it.</p>]]></description>
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      <title>ChatGPT wants to see your bank account. Nothing unnerving about that at all.</title>
      <link>https://confidentlywrong.me/stories/2026-05-16/chatgpt-wants-to-see-your-bank-account-openai-has-auto-enabl/</link>
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      <pubDate>Sat, 16 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[<p>OpenAI would like to know about your mortgage, your debts, your investment portfolio, and that embarrassing number of takeaway orders in March. Starting this week, ChatGPT Pro users in the US can connect accounts across more than 12,000 financial institutions and ask the chatbot questions grounded in their "real financial context." Which is one way to describe handing your bank statements to the company currently fighting a lawsuit in which its CEO has been characterised, under oath, as a liar.</p><p>Altman, to be clear, denies that. But it is the backdrop.</p><p>The feature is opt-in, in the sense that the data-sharing toggle is auto-enabled and you have to find it yourself to turn it off. OpenAI says your full account numbers won't be visible and the chatbot can't move money. It can only see your balances, transactions, investments, and liabilities. So: everything except the PIN.</p><p>There's a partnership with Intuit tucked in here too, for tax help, which is a genuinely useful thing. And 200 million people apparently already ask ChatGPT for budgeting advice monthly, which is either a ringing endorsement or a small civilisational warning sign, depending on your mood.</p><p>The pitch is personalisation. The risk is that personalisation requires the data to exist somewhere, and data that exists somewhere can leak.</p>]]></description>
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      <title>133 years of unsupervised exams. One chatbot to end them all.</title>
      <link>https://confidentlywrong.me/stories/2026-05-15/133-years-of-unsupervised-exams-one-chatbot-to-end-them-all/</link>
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      <pubDate>Fri, 15 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[<p>Princeton just ended its 133-year tradition of unsupervised exams. Professors used to leave the room, students stayed, and everyone was on their honour. AI, apparently, has made that arrangement feel quaint.</p><p>The dean of the faculty cited "the perception that cheating on in-class exams has become widespread," and named generative AI specifically. Worth noting: it's a perception, not a confirmed explosion of documented cases. But perception moves institutions, especially old ones that have spent 133 years assuming the best of their students. Once the assumption cracks, you don't just patch it. You hire a proctor.</p><p>Which brings us to the joke the Verge couldn't resist, and fair enough: at least AI has created one job. The student chaperone is back, clipboard in hand, patrolling the rows like a supply teacher who's heard everything.</p><p>There's something genuinely sad in here if you look for it. The honour code wasn't naive, it was a bet on human character. Princeton ran that bet for longer than most countries have had the telephone. It lost it to a chatbot.</p>]]></description>
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      <title>What do you do when your boss asks you to build a colleague job killer? It seems, you build it anyway...</title>
      <link>https://confidentlywrong.me/stories/2026-05-13/what-do-you-do-when-your-boss-asks-you-to-build-a-colleague/</link>
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      <pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2026 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
      <description><![CDATA[<p>A software developer has been asked to build an internal AI tool, but he's also quite sure it's going to get his coworkers fired. This does not seem to be a problem for him, or many others as it turns out.</p><p>This is, depending on your perspective, entirely rational or a betrayal of every colleague who's ever offered you a cup of tea. The developer, Pressberg, is clear-eyed about the situation. He doesn't have close relationships with the people who'll likely be displaced. He reckons he's not the only one doing this. And his summary of the available options is, genuinely, hard to argue with: you can ride the horse, or get trampled by it, but you can't just watch the race.</p><p>Which is a sensible framing, and also exactly the kind of sensible framing that makes something slightly terrible feel inevitable.</p><p>The uncomfortable part isn't that one developer in Florida made a pragmatic call. It's that this is apparently a widespread enough experience that Business Insider ran the story with "I think" in the headline, suggesting the builders often don't even know for certain. They're just guessing, building, and hoping the horse isn't coming for them next.</p>]]></description>
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